Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.238254 0.275254 0.317378 0.369154 0.431442 0.504416 0.597048
2025-09-14 0.177020 0.223124 0.281522 0.362042 0.471960 0.619415 0.836806
2025-09-21 0.145428 0.195058 0.262983 0.365080 0.518861 0.749065 1.134380
2025-09-28 0.123556 0.173771 0.246735 0.364177 0.555857 0.870577 1.459351
2025-10-05 0.110499 0.161875 0.240510 0.375016 0.611181 1.033962 1.915057
2025-10-12 0.099799 0.151355 0.233870 0.382721 0.661704 1.202369 2.450748
2025-10-19 0.090995 0.142259 0.227610 0.389114 0.710477 1.381432 3.092617
2025-10-26 0.084550 0.135973 0.224817 0.400764 0.771790 1.605894 3.961621
2025-11-02 0.077948 0.128442 0.218525 0.404210 0.816631 1.808621 4.893328
2025-11-09 0.071895 0.121064 0.211342 0.404315 0.853933 2.006411 5.940967
2025-11-16 0.066256 0.113736 0.203182 0.400756 0.881727 2.190017 7.076196
2025-11-23 0.061013 0.106542 0.194304 0.393986 0.899974 2.354535 8.274643
2025-11-30 0.057931 0.103215 0.192903 0.404319 0.966691 2.697504 10.556866
2025-12-07 0.053505 0.096810 0.184391 0.396605 0.983148 2.890195 12.373750
2025-12-14 0.050510 0.092938 0.180733 0.400041 1.032749 3.222661 15.341217
2025-12-21 0.047475 0.088668 0.175669 0.399042 1.069214 3.527799 18.606067
2025-12-28 0.045683 0.086784 0.175645 0.411148 1.150855 4.059768 24.320322
2026-01-04 0.043792 0.084492 0.174394 0.419758 1.224333 4.606276 31.349544
2026-01-11 0.041959 0.082142 0.172713 0.426904 1.295705 5.194746 40.302990
2026-01-18 0.040604 0.080706 0.173033 0.439933 1.393690 5.992633 54.041192
2026-01-25 0.038842 0.078192 0.170416 0.443790 1.458732 6.670614 69.065989
2026-02-01 0.037028 0.075396 0.166778 0.443907 1.509599 7.314611 86.695011
2026-02-08 0.035159 0.072317 0.162087 0.439924 1.542737 7.883906 106.325429